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Written by Trent Daniel
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Thursday, 11 March 2010 |
Just to prove I’m an honest man, I’ll compare my predictions for the Academy Awards to the actual results.
Final tally: Out of 24 awards, I got 13 right (54%)
Of the “Big 6” (picture, director, the 4 acting awards), I got 4 right (67%).
Since some were admittedly a crap shoot (such as best documentary short), I’m satisfied with how I did. I admit to missing the big one (Best Picture), but rumor has it that the vote was close. If I could do one over, it would be Best Actor-I mistakenly predicted an upset when Bridges was clearly the sentimental favorite.
(My hits are marked with an X.)
Category
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Prediction |
Actual Winner
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Avatar |
The Hurt Locker |
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Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker
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Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker |
X
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Jeremy Renner, ‘The Hurt Locker.’ |
Jeff Bridges, ‘Crazy Heart’ |
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Sandra Bullock, ‘The Blind Side’ |
Sandra Bullock, ‘The Blind Side’ |
X |
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Christoph Waltz, ‘Inglorious Basterds’ |
Christoph Waltz, ‘Inglorious Basterds’ |
X |
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Mo’nique, ‘Precious’ |
Mo’nique, ‘Precious’ |
X |
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Read more... [Trent's Fearless 2010 Oscar Predictions: Recap]
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Written by Trent Daniel
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Sunday, 07 March 2010 |
MY OTHER 2010 OSCAR PREDICTIONS:
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Written by Trent Daniel
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Thursday, 04 March 2010 |
Best Actor Choices:
Best Actress Choices:
This is a very tough call. Perhaps surprisingly, I feel Freeman is the least likely to win. The Academy might feel it has awarded Clint Eastwood (the director of ‘Invictus’) enough lately, Freeman won only a few years ago for ‘Million Dollar Baby’ and ‘Invictus’ was a box office disappointment. Firth was somewhat of a surprise winner at the BAFTA awards earlier this month, but the Academy might be more inclined to honor smaller American films this year instead of a little seen British film. The Oscar I feel is a three way contest between Clooney, Renner and Bridges. ‘Up in the Air’ was a leading Oscar contender a few months ago, but perceptions of the film have cooled a bit, which hurts Clooney’s chances (and being a recent winner hurts his chances a bit as well). Bridges is a well respected veteran who has never won and he has received critical praise for his performance as a down and out country singer. However, few have seen his film and his upset loss at the BAFTA awards to Firth might mean he can no longer ride the momentum of critical waves all the way to the Oscar. Renner is an up and comer, but received rave reviews as well for his arresting and believable performance as a soldier addicted to the danger of war. In a slight upset, the Academy will decide to further honor the co-best picture of the year by giving the award to Renner (deserved, IMHO).
My pick for best actor: Jeremy Renner.
View my pick for Best Actress after the fold.
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Read more... [Trent's Fearless 2010 Oscar Predictions: Best Actor/Best Actress]
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Written by Trent Daniel
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Thursday, 04 March 2010 |
Best Supporting Actor Choices:
Best Supporting Actress Choices:
Who will win best supporting actor:
I feel this is the strongest lock of the night. Waltz has picked up every award in sight since Cannes for his star-making turn as the villainous Col. Landa. Equal parts charming, funny, cruel and fearsome, he dominates every scene he is in. It is also worth noting that his role required him to act in four languages. The other nominees were in films either hardly seen (‘The Last Station,’ ‘The Messenger’) or box office disappointments (‘Invictus,’ ‘The Lovely Bones’). Waltz will win and deserves it.
My pick for best supporting actor: Christoph Waltz
View my pick for Best Supporting Actress after the fold.
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Read more... [Trent's Fearless 2010 Oscar Predictions: Best Supporting Actor/Actress]
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Written by Trent Daniel
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Monday, 01 March 2010 |
The movies up for Best Director:
The Academy will make history (which it likes to do) by making Bigelow the first female Best Director winner. If ‘Avatar’ edges out ‘The Hurt Locker’ for Best Picture, then Bigelow’s win will be the Academy’s way of awarding the co-best picture of the year. Her main competition is her ex-husband Cameron. His formidable case for winning is that ‘Avatar’ further solidified the argument that he is the best mega-budget blockbuster director of all time (perhaps even ahead of Spielberg). However, with a substantially smaller budget, Bigelow made an extremely powerful and poignant film-and the most critically acclaimed film of the year. Bigelow will and should win.
My Pick for Best Director: Kathryn Bigelow
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